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Subject: George Orwell The Dumpster Diver
From: The Ghost In The Machine
Date: 12/18/2007 2:09:45 PM
In comp.os.linux.advocacy, SW
<sw@invalid.invalid>
wrote
on 18 Dec 2007 17:10:07 GMT
<4767feee$0$3317$6e1ede2f@read.cnntp.org>:
> On Mon, 17 Dec 2007 03:25:24 +0000, 7 wrote:
>
>
>>
>> Linux now adding over 1 million new users per month, while
>> embedded Linux is selling one million devices per day.
>
>
> Where did you obtain the one million new users per month figure?
1M users/month would translate into about 1.2% per year,
absent further evidence; this assumes 1 billion PC units,
each capable of running Microsoft Windows or Linux.
This seems unlikely.
Meanwhile, Vista continues to grow at a rate of 20%
per annum, according to somewhat reliable (but still
questionable) browser statistic measurement sites.
This growth rate is slower than Microsoft probably thinks
it should be (equipment replacement is every 3 years,
not 5) but is still growth.
There are, of course, other markets; one particularly
intriguing variant is the mobile market, where QTopia has
already waded in with its variant of a "green phone", which
in this case is more of an "open phone", running a variant
of KDE. Microsoft would have to dislodge Symbian (the
dominant OS supplier) in this space; this is admittedly
possible but doesn't look all that likely yet.
As for embedded Linux selling 1 million devices per *day*,
that sounds highly unlikely. What are these devices?
While QTopia is an interesting offering, I highly
doubt they would realize that sort of revenue per year
(assuming $200/phone, 1M/day translates into $73B/year)
at the first go! Nor are there other devices that appear
comparable, although I've not researched such as the
microwave controller, refigerator controller, or coffee
brewer markets.
--
#191, ewill3@earthlink.net
Useless C/C++ Programming Idea #1123133:
void f(FILE * fptr, char *p) { fgets(p, sizeof(p), fptr); }
--
Posted via a free Usenet account from http://www.teranews.com
Subject: George Orwell The Dumpster Diver
From: Linonut
Date: 12/20/2007 7:54:28 AM
* The Ghost In The Machine fired off this tart reply:
> Meanwhile, Vista continues to grow at a rate of 20%
> per annum, according to somewhat reliable (but still
> questionable) browser statistic measurement sites.
That's not growth.
That's molting.
--
Tux rox!
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